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September 22, 2007

A Tale of Two Parties: Chapter Two

(Chapter One: see August 16 entry)

After the people of the kingdom called Land of Liberty reached the bottom of the evil smelling mound and found that the root of all that evil was money they decided things had to change.

They worked hard; talked to everyone they met along the way, wrote articles and blogs and soon many citizens came to see the truth. And so when the day to choose came around, many who had believed in their conservative “protectors” had begun to doubt and decided to give the other party a chance. And so with high sounding promises and much fanfare the liberals claimed many more seats in the palace chambers.

The people were very excited and expected great things from their new representatives. Alas, it wasn’t long before they could see there were some problems with the new arrangement. The king, who contributed much to the evil smelling mound, was still in power. He didn’t like the new order of things and had no intention of working with these new people. He was petulant and stubborn and told everyone he was the “decider” and by golly he would make the decisions no matter what “they” said. He announced that he would just crash his scepter on their heads if they tried to do something he didn’t like.

The liberals knew once the scepter came down, they would need more than their own members to lift it off. So they began to court some of the good conservatives who seemed to want to separate themselves from the evil around them. It was a hard battle; the forces of the dark side fought very hard, the lure of power and money was strong, the intimidation mighty, and the habit of thinking the liberals could do no good was exceedingly ingrained.

But lo and behold, as the battle raged, the liberals slowly started to gain some ground. Here and there, character overcame coercion and greed and a few good men joined the liberals in trying to do what was best for the kingdom. Others, who could no longer justify adding to the smelly mound but lacked the courage to stand up and be counted, announced they were going to let their time run out, then quit and go home. Despite the gains the liberals made, it was not enough to lift the scepter and so the battle continued.

The people of the Land of Liberty realized that they would have to go back to work to change the balance of power even more. The king would go at the next time of choice but that might not be soon enough. Every time they checked the mound, it had grown larger and they saw that the evil smelling stuff was beginning to slide into other kingdoms and the people in those places were getting very angry and they blamed all in the Land of Liberty and not just the evil doers.

And so the people began to gather in groups large and small, in meeting halls, and on-line, to talk about what they could do to stop what was happening and how the king and the vice-king could be called to account. And slowly but surely a wind arose, soft at first, then growing in force as it swept across the land. And if you listened very closely you could hear the wind whisper… impeach them, impeach them.

September 18, 2007

The Americans Spoke, Now the Iraqi People Speak

A national survey of Iraq citizens by ABC news, the BBC and Japanese broadcaster NHK was done in late August. The survey consisted of face-to-face interviews of 2,212 randomly selected adults at randomly selected homes at sampling points randomly selected across the country. 69% of the interviews were either directly observed by supervisors or back-checked in-person or by phone. All but two of the interviewers had previous experience on similar surveys.

65% of the randomly selected respondents agreed to cooperate – well above the 40% that is considered reasonable in the U.S. In spite of the obvious danger, the respondents seemed unafraid and serious in answering the questions.

The results of the new survey do not give the surge the same good marks as Bush and Petraeus (emphasis added):

assessing the surge itself -- a measure that necessarily includes views of the United States, which are highly negative -- 65 to 70 percent of Iraqis say it's worsened rather than improved security, political stability and the pace of redevelopment alike.
Apart from a few scattered gains, (the survey)… finds deepening dissatisfaction with conditions in Iraq, lower ratings for the national government and growing rejection of the U.S. role there. ... despite the uncertainties of what might follow, 47 percent now favor the immediate withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq… a view that's risen equally among Sunni Arabs (72 percent now say the U.S. should leave immediately, up 17 points) and Shiites (44 percent, up 16 points). Kurds almost unanimously disagree; just eight percent favor an immediate withdrawal. Desire for the United States to "leave now" is highest in Anbar, still deeply anti-American despite any accommodation its leaders have made with the U.S. military.
Bush declared “normal life is returning” when he visited Anbar last week. 38 percent of Anbar Iraqis do see security improvement, up from zero in March. However, a large majority, 62 percent, still rate security negatively, with 46 percent citing lack of security as their biggest problem. Not exactly the shinning example portrayed by Bush and Petraeus.

The President’s definition of “normal life” must be very odd because Anbar also reports increased “very bad” ratings on availability of jobs, local schools, clean water, household goods, fuel, and freedom of movement.

In another result, 80 percent of Iraqis disapprove of the way U.S. and other coalition forces have performed in Iraq. Acceptability of attacks on U.S. forces varies by locale, with100 percent in Anbar, 69 percent in Kirkuk city and 60 percent in Baghdad, compared with 38 percent in Basra and just three percent in the northern Kurdish provinces.

Performance of the national government shows a 65 percent disapprove rate. Even 47 percent of the Shiites themselves disapprove. Prime Minister Maliki’s performance has only a 33 percent approval rating (shades of George Bush!) down 10 points since last winter. Again, the rating, even among Shiites, is down by 13 points during that period.

Among the more positive results, only 19 percent, (down from 31 percent in March), blame the U.S. for the current violence. There have also been gains in the level of confidence in the Iraqi army, 67 percent and police, 69 percent.

A surprising and hopeful result shows that 62 percent of Iraqis continue to prefer a unified state with a central government.

Segregation of Iraqis -- both forced and voluntary -- continues to occur. Across the country, one in six Iraqis -- 17 percent -- report the separation of Sunni and Shiite Arabs on sectarian lines, including 11 percent who describe this as mainly forced. In a continued sign of hope, this separation is enormously unpopular: Ninety-eight percent, with agreement across ethnic and sectarian lines, oppose it.

Related results underscore the difficulty of life in Iraq: Seventy-seven percent rate their freedom to live where they want without persecution negatively; 74 percent rate their freedom of safe movement negatively. Both are essentially unchanged from March.

The he said, she said versions of the results of the surge as stated by Petraeus, politicians and pundits all come from a slanted perspective. The military wants to win, the politicians want to be right, and the pundits have a viewpoint to support. The Iraqi people, on the other hand, are just reporting on the reality of their lives. So which version do you think is closer to the truth?

For the full story about this survey go to:
http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=3571504

September 12, 2007

Now What?

Finally! The long awaited Petraeus report is in and now we know… what?

Is the surge a success? It’s hard to say, there is still a lot of violence but…well maybe… in some areas… but then there are the questions about the alliance with the Sunni tribal leaders against al Qaida – where could that lead down the road?

Is the Iraq government meeting its benchmarks? Well not really… but wait, at the local level there are some signs of progress… and taking into account the traumatic lives of the Iraqi people – first the years of fear under Saddam, now the fear of violence that is a daily constant – rapid change is improbable but movement from the bottom up seems encouraging, more likely to be sustainable than change from the top down.

Should we stay or should we go? Yes and no. We should stay but some of us can go. Maybe by April 2008 we will have drawn down the number of troops that were added in the surge. That puts us back to where we were in January when we ask for a reduction of troops. Does that mean when we are going to bring troops home, first we send more so that we can have a reduction without actually reducing the number of troops?

Is the war making America safer? Even Petraeus doesn’t know. “I don’t know, actually” he said when asked that question.

Reactions to the testimony of Petraeus and Crocker were just as mixed.

Senators said…

SEN. BARACK OBAMA, (D) "We have now set the bar so low that modest improvement in what was a completely chaotic situation ... is considered success. And it's not. This continues to be a disastrous foreign policy mistake."

SEN. JOHN MCCAIN, (R) General Petraeus and his troops ask just two things of us: the time to continue this strategy and the support they need to carry out their mission. They must have both, and we should fight to ensure that they do."

Representatives said…

IKE SKELTON, (D) "General Petraeus who sits here before us is almost certainly the right man for the job in Iraq. But he's the right person three years too late and 250,000 troops short. If we had your vision and approach early on we might not have gotten to the point where our troops are caught in the midst of brutal sectarian fighting."

DUNCAN HUNTER, (R) "The idea that this Congress is going to arbitrarily overlay a requirement for a reduction in American forces when we are moving toward a maturing of the Iraqi forces and a successful handoff which will be a victory for the United States, I think should not be supported by this body."

Syndicated columnists said…

GENE LYONS, United Media: "The bitter but unmistakable truth about Iraq is this: From the vaunted 'Petraeus Report' onward, U.S. policy will have one overriding purpose, deflecting blame for the ongoing catastrophe everywhere but where it belongs -- on President Bush and Vice President Cheney. Bush remains incapable of accepting responsibility, Cheney of admitting error. All the rest is misdirection. Anybody who imagines differently hasn't been paying attention."

CAL THOMAS, Tribune Media Services: "The gist of the opposition to the war and to the reports by Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker is that they are either not telling the truth about Iraq, or they are not telling the entire truth.... [But] the only hope in this war is to win it, no matter how much frustration, or division in Iraq (and America) and no matter how long it takes."

Letters to the Editor said…

Richard C. Gentilcore, Fort Lauderdale, FL: I have heard Gen. David H. Petraeus, and I am not impressed. I learned in the Marine Corps (1966-69) during the Vietnam War that the military is the ultimate “can do” organization. Our generals can solve any problem, no matter how intractable. They will never give up or admit failure. They will always exude confidence and resolve, always see progress, however illusionary or fleeting, and they will always ask for a little more time “to get the job done.”

Beth Thurman, Fort Worth, TX: “I have no doubt that Gen. David H. Petraeus called the situation as he saw it with pure intentions and a mind to safeguard his biggest assets, his men on the ground. If the American people want to question the handling of the war, that is their right and privilege. If the American people want to question General Petraeus’s allegiance and honesty, they have nowhere to look but in the mirror.”

In my opinion, the one that nailed it was Rupert Cornwell in the Belfast Telegraph who said...

Not long ago, the Petraeus report was billed as the make-or-break moment. There are 49 Senate Republicans. By this summer, enough of them wobbled on Iraq to question the party's ability to muster the 41 votes needed to sustain a filibuster. Without a filibuster, the Democratic-controlled Congress would be able to bring matters to a head, with legislation demanding Mr Bush set a timetable for withdrawal.

But, the President urged, wait for Petraeus, and the thin red line held. Now it too looks stronger. The general's line that the surge is working, and that a troop drawdown can begin this year, appears to have convinced most of the doubters to give the White House more time to put Iraq in order.

So, huff and puff as they will, Congressional Democrats can do nothing, for the next few months at least. A besieged White House can meanwhile savor the rare pleasure of watching the opposite party tear itself apart, as the anti-war Democratic base vents its frustration and fury on a leadership that cannot deliver on the promises that carried Democrats to victory in the midterm elections just 10 months ago.

Such is the Petraeus effect in the Washington political hothouse. In the real world, of soldiers coming home in coffins, of Iraqi civilians slaughtered in car bombs and a country coming apart, it is another matter.

And isn't that the matter we should all be concerned about and talking about? This war is not fodder for political posturing, it is a matter of people living, dying, or being maimed for life. Shouldn't all other concerns – being right, winning or losing, blaming and finger pointing, gaining control of Iraq’s oil, political legacies – be looked at in the light of the cost in human lives?

September 06, 2007

What Are They Saying? What Should We Say?

If we were paying attention last January, we heard some of the build up to war with Iran in Bush’s January 10 speech. The President accused Iran of “providing material support for attacks on American troops” while promising to “disrupt the attacks on our forces” and “seek out and destroy the networks providing advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq.”

On the heels of that January speech, five Iranians were arrested in their consulate in northern Iraq. Washington claimed the Iranians were agents and members of the IRGC. Tehran said they were diplomats.

Throughout the following months, statements from the administration painted Iran as nearing nuclear capability and as an imminent threat to the U.S. No one wants Iran to have “the bomb” anymore than we wanted Iraq to have WMDs. But the intelligence does not support these allegations, just as it didn’t with Iraq. Are we really willing to let the same people, use the same strategy and lead us into yet another war?

Stephen Rose has an excellent blog http://viewsontheridge.com/dragonflight “Iran: Another Iraq?” dealing with this issue.

In a September 3 article in the Nairobi Business Daily Trita Parsi points out the August 28 Bush speech before the National American Legion conference continues the build up:

Accusing Iran of seeking to put an already unstable Middle East under “the shadow of a nuclear holocaust” and promising to confront Tehran —whose actions “threaten the security of nations everywhere” — before it is too late echo statements made by the Bush White House about Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein prior to the invasion of Iraq.

Just as Bush continually made false assertions linking Saddam to 9/11, he now falsely links success in Iraq with stopping Iran’s nuclear program. There is nothing to back up this assumption and we are all too familiar with how this administration’s past assumptions have worked out.

Ted Galen Carpenter vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C., and author of seven books on international affairs wrote a September 2 article on TimesUnion.com. He said:

Tehran's quest for nuclear weapons is an extremely thorny issue, and there are no easy solutions. But one thing is clear: A defeat of the insurgency in Iraq will not have a meaningful impact on it.

It is ironic that blinded by their own agenda, Bush and company ignored the predictions of war critics that Iraqi Shiites would embark on a close working relationship with their co-religionists across the border. Carpenter goes on to say:

The brutal truth is that it was almost certain from the day U.S. forces overthrew Saddam Hussein that Iran would be the main beneficiary of that action. Saddam had been the nemesis of the clerical regime in Tehran for nearly a quarter century. The two countries had waged an extremely bloody war throughout the 1980s, and Iraq's Sunni political elite remained Iran's mortal adversary. Iraq under Sunni rule was the principal strategic counterweight to an assertive Iran.

Never deterred by logic or facts which contradict his assumptions, Bush continues his war of words against Iran as pointed out in a September 2 editorial in the Dallas Morning News:

President Bush recently declared that a chief reason for keeping U.S. troops in Iraq is to counter Iranian influence in the region and deter Tehran from developing nuclear weapons.

That is what… justification number 5, 6 or is it 7 for staying the course in Iraq? The editorial goes on to say:

Containment of Iran is not part of the Iraq mission, and it's important that the White House, Congress and the public not let themselves be distracted.

Amen to that!

For months Bush has claimed that Iran is supplying Iraqi insurgents with sophisticated IED’s . The intelligence backing up that claim is minimal and there is good reason to believe these devices can and are being made in Baghdad. There was an Andrew Cockburn article in the Los Angeles Times, reprinted in the San Jose Mercury in February, about a largely unreported raid of a Baghdad machine shop last November. The raid uncovered copper disks that were determined to be part of an ongoing order. These disks plus a high powered explosive and a pipe-like container make an EFP – the “sophisticated” IED Bush is talking about. Contrary to Bush’s claim, EFPs are simple and inexpensive to make for anyone who knows how.

On FoxNews.com, Oliver North, campaigns to paint Democrats as “passive” regarding Iran’s nuclear program. The point – to convince people Democrats shouldn’t be trusted with the safety of our country. And of course, we can look at the Iraq quagmire and feel assured we can trust the Republicans. Right? Not! North also berates a State Department spokesperson (interesting since the State Department is Republican controlled) for remaining calm in response to one of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s saber rattling comments. Heaven forbid we should remain calm and not rise to the bait! How can we start another war if we avoid knee jerk reactions?

Despite the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report of “significant” cooperation with Iran over its nuclear program, and a slow down in uranium enrichment, Bush’s rhetoric against Iran continues to escalate.

Paul Craig Roberts (CounterPunch, August 31) highlights the pot and kettle aspect of Bush’s accusations against Iran and the world’s view of the U.S.

The Pew Foundation's world polls show that despite all the American and Israeli propaganda against Iran, the US and Israel are regarded as no less threats to world stability than demonized Iran.
The "Iran issue" has been created by the Bush administration, not by Iran. Iran, like many other countries, has a nuclear energy program to which it is entitled as a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency have found no evidence of a nuclear weapons program in Iran.
The Bush administration has brushed away this fact, which should be determining, just as the Bush administration brushed away the fact that weapons inspectors reported, prior to Bush's invasion of Iraq, that there were no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.

Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal editorial page and Contributing Editor of National Review. Not exactly a ranting liberal!

In Patrick Buchanan’s San Jose Mercury September 4 article, he states”

Today, the United States has 30,000 more troops in Iraq than on the day America repudiated the Bush war policy and voted the GOP out of power. And President Bush, self-confidence surging, is now employing against Iran bellicosity redolent of the days just prior to Operation Iraqi Freedom.
Last spring, Nancy Pelosi herself, after a call from the Israeli lobby, pulled an amendment that would have forced Bush to come to Congress for specific authorization before attacking Iran. Before the August recess, the Senate voted 97 to zero for a resolution sponsored by Joe Lieberman to censure Iran for complicity in the killing of U.S. soldiers in Iraq.
(Bush said) "I have authorized our military commanders in Iraq to confront Tehran's murderous activities. . . . We've conducted operations against Iranian agents supplying lethal munitions to extremist groups." This suggests that U.S. forces may already be engaged in combat operations against Iranians.

Wake up America! Bush and company want to go to war with Iran just like they wanted to go to war with Iraq. And they are using the same strategy to accomplish their goal. They lie, manipulate intelligence, incite fear and anger using worse case scenarios, and hide or ignore facts that contradict what they want people to believe.

Write, call, and email your elected representatives and just say NO! Call and email your national and local media and demand they investigate instead of just parroting what the administration says about Iran. And do it over and over until they get the message.

To remain silent is to give assent to war with Iran.

September 01, 2007

Getting Here From There

Stephen Rose’s blog, “Family Values Or Hypocrisy” asks how and why so many Americans continue to believe elected officials who lie, make promises they never keep, and get involved in money and sex scandals. I think we all become frustrated with those who refuse to see or hear “our truth” when it is so clear to us. (It is interesting to note “they” feel the same way about us.)

That made me wonder, how did we get here from there? I am not talking about the ignorant, name calling, rabble rousers who would happily rid the world of all “demon liberals.” They are very loud but they are a minority. I am talking about regular people - intelligent, God fearing, law abiding citizens who started out with true conservative views and were capable of working in a conciliatory manner with liberals. So what happened?

The only reasonable explanation seems to be a kind of brainwashing that occurred over a period of years. It was not an accident; it was a conscious strategy with a definite goal – power. It took all the good in conservatism - fiscal responsibility, real family values, and true patriotism – and used them in a way that had nothing to do with their real meaning and purpose.

First, feeding on the conservative’s religiosity and patriotism, there was a concerted campaign to demonize liberals emphasizing divisive issues like abortion and homosexuality as if they were the only things liberals cared about. So called “patriotic” issues - flag burning, gun control, and law and order – were promoted as purely conservative concerns.

Next, the label “liberal media” was used over and over conditioning people to mistrust what they heard on mainstream news and read in major newspapers. In a 1992 Washington Post article, Rich Bond, Republican Party chair, came right out and said that the conservatives’ frequent denunciations of liberal bias in the media were part of “a strategy.”

Finally, a media machine was created, comprised of think tanks, advocacy groups, partisan outlets (Washington Times, Wall Street Journal editorial page), radio talk shows (Rush Limbaugh et al), and the icing on the cake, Fox News. Together, these entities reverberate with GOP friendly “news” stories, repeated over and over. And we all know what happens - if you say it loudly enough and often enough, people begin to believe it.

I cannot count the number of times I have been told how “fair and balanced” Fox News is; how commentators like Sean Hannity tell both sides of the story, with the unspoken but obvious underlying meaning, that therefore he is to be believed. Fox not only denies a conservative bias but maintains that it is the only unbiased network.

This strategy of aggressive denial has been practiced in everything the movers and shakers of the GOP have done for the past several decades. It is how they took control of the southern states and congress. It is how they manipulated and deceived their own people. Good people for the most part, who actually believe they are on the side of morality and family values.

Breaking through the layers of spin, half-truths, and outright lies that this media machine has been churning out for years, is like trying to cut a steak with a plastic spoon. There has been some progress in the last few years but it has not come from those of us who would persuade them of our truth. It has happened as the rot from within has begun to surface. Faced with the incompetence, power grabs, and scandals in this administration, the good people have started to question “their truth” as told by their media machine.

Experience tells us how difficult it is to undo any kind of systematic conditioning, so perhaps our best hope is the continued crumbling of the clay feet of the conditioners themselves.